Adrian Peterson - Well. Surprise, surprise, surprise. Tom Brady went second, saving me from deciding between Steven Jackson or Brian Westbrook. AP is overrated in so much as he is not on LT's level. He remains, however, very explosive and I have to balance out my other picks to account for bad weeks and the injury possibility.
Willis McGahee - Awesome. I have McGahee will within my top 10 and I got him at the bottom of the second. I went stud-RB, but it was only because McGahee was still here. Would also have taken Ryan Grant here, who went the pick before.
Chad Johnson - Ocho Cinco is dropping too far in value this year. I'm pleased to get him in the third, though I probably would have taken Colston, who went the pick before.
By this point in the draft, it's obvious my peers are not sticking to the standard script. Several players have been selected higher than my ADP charts predicted, which I noticed of course because I was hoping to get them a little later. This continues throughout the draft. In just the first round this happened:
1-2 Tom Brady
1-6 Peyton Manning
1-7 Randy Moss
1-8 Tony Romo
1-9 Joseph Addai (I think he's overrated, but Addai is typically a top 5 or 6 pick, but with three QBs and a WR in the top 8, this happens.)
Drew Brees, Wes Welker and Jamal Lewis all, surprisingly, went in the second round, dropping Andre Johnson to a more plausible 2-12.
In the third:
3-1 Derek Anderson
3-5 Anquan Boldin
3-7 Ben Roethlisberger
3-8 Willie Parker
3-12 Donovan McNabb
Back to my picks, resuming with the bottom of the fourth round...
Chris Cooley - No lie, I had about 4 people staged to pick, all of whom went this round before my pick, including Santonio Holmes, Plax, Greg Jennings and Torry Holt. I really, really wanted my second of three starting WRs here, but I wasn't going to reach for a lower tier when there were still plenty of them left. After much heartache and indecision, I pulled the trigger on a 'stud' TE.
Lee Evans - By this part in the draft, I'm convinced this team is doomed. Evans is not a player I'm targeting, but he was by far the WR with the highest projections left on my list, the 'best' QBs are gone and it's way too early to grab a defense.
Santana Moss - Moss is a player I'm targeting. He's not as large as I'd like, but I have high hopes for the 'Skins offense this year.
Both Cotchery and Coles went this round. I was also thinking about their upside given the fact Favre is in NYJ green now. Be aware that astute fantasy footballers are thinking round 6 for these two when a week ago, they were round 7 picks.
Matt Schaub - Normally I wouldn't take Schaub as my QB1, but given my weakness at WR, I wanted a high upside player. There are plenty of second tier QBs left and I am confident I can grab one later. This pick cost me Thomas Jones, who went 7-8.
Rashard Mendenhall - I really wanted Thomas Jones here. I didn't expect him to fall this far at the start of the draft, but considering he was still around in 7, I was hoping the RB position had been considered played out. Mendenhall is a rookie and will most likely disappoint, but there is a good chance he gets the goal line looks in Pittsburgh.
David Garrard - I'm still rolling the dice. He has new WRs to throw to and I expect a big year, but he just doesn't have a fantasy stud year under his belt yet. I could have gone with Eli for the sure thing.
Jerry Porter - I'm pretty happy with this pick. I don't expect Porter to set the world on fire, but exceeding 1000 and 6 is possible. That is if Garrard lives up to the promise.
Owen Daniels - I'm pretty confident that Cooley will be fine, but I'm also high on the Texans this year. Daniels had almost 800 yards receiving last year but just three TDs. If the offense is a little more prolific, he could near 1000 yards. TDs will come, most likely.
Mason Crosby - I needed a kicker. He'll work.
Steve Slaton - There's nothing left by defenses and lottery tickets. Given that I've missed Thomas Jones, Drew Brees and about 6 WRs I was targeting, I wanted to roll the dice on this RB. A lot my players have late bye weeks. Ahman Green is already injured. All that stands between Slaton and stardom is two old, injury prone, mediocre running backs.
David Patten - He got 800 and 3 last year. As with Owen Daniels, I'm hoping Patten is the beneficiary of an improving, high octane offense. If not, he's easy to cut. Even 800 and 3 is a good deal for a 14th round WR. Robert Meacham, drafted in the first round last year, is being drafted higher, but has never caught a regular season pass. Patten starts the year as the #2 in New Orleans and the may not give up the job.
Green Bay - For picking a defense in the last round, this isn't too shabby.
In sum, I wasn't too thrilled with this team right after the draft. It lacks most of the players I've targeted as having a level of certainty plus a measure of upside and substitutes a lot of players that are more upside than certainty. I'll be good at TE and good, if shallow at RB. I'm okay if unspectacular at WR, defense and kicker. QB is a pure crap shoot and the success of this roster probably rests on whether Schaub and/or Garrard blossom to top tier QBs. Plus, after looking at the rest of the league, there's probably only one or two teams I'd swap with.
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