Sunday, August 26, 2007

Roger Rotter, Bandwagon Analyst

Roger Rotter, Foxsports' Fantasy Editor, writes here that you shouldn't draft Steve McNair and that you should pick Chad Johnson before Edgerrin James.

Very bold analysis, Roger. I was reading his column and found myself wondering "Who the heck is drafting Steve McNair and Trent Green?" These are two bust candidates of Roger's. (He recommends you take Peyton Manning or Drew Brees instead. Okay, Manning and Brees ahead of McNair and Green was sarcasm - that's too obvious even for for Roger.)

When I had the thought: "Is anyone really drafting Cedric Benson ahead of Steve Smith, Marvin Harrison and Chad Johnson?" and, "Who is taking Edge in the second?" I knew it was time to check whether Roger was going about three-quarters of an inch out onto a very large limb or whether he really knew of a trend that I didn't.

Turns out that on Foxsports and Yahoo - almost no one is selecting Cedric Benson ahead of said wide receivers. And on Yahoo, Edge is almost a 5th round pick (average 4.9 rds). In his defense, Foxsports fantasy footballers are taking Benson just three picks after Chad Johson on average. And that somehow, the fantasy nation residents on Foxsports are taking Edge on average with the 29th and a half pick. But almost no one is taking Green, Roger, either on your site or at Yahoo. Though, strangely, McNair is taken in more than 80% of your leagues and just 10% of Yahoo's.

Roger, be a little bolder. Almost no one is passing elite WRs up to pick Cedric Benson.

But I do have a question. How in the world is McNair taken 80% of the time on Foxsports and 10% of the time in Yahoo? That's not even close. What the heck? Are Foxsport's default rankings that out of whack? The might be. I see that Kenny Irons, a rookie, second string running back on IR, is listed as the 111th best player according to your rankings. - a 10th round pick in 12 team leagues - ahead of a half dozen starting TEs grouped together starting around 123.

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