Should You Leave The Moss Hanging?

Should you take the Randy Moss Plunge in your upcoming draft?

By this point, you may have read:
- Randy Moss ran a 4.32 in the 40 yard dash earlier this spring.

- All the talk is positive and he is currently in the honeymoon phase with Bill Bellicheck and Tom Brady.

- The positive locker room culture that exudes itself in the Patriots organization. The type of influence from veterans and a winning attitude that allows bad character guys such as Corey Dillon to come in and contribute without a hiccup.

- When guys reach a certain point in their careers they simply want to win championships and often are capable of putting away their own personal egos long enough to put on a championship ring.

I agree that Randy Moss is going to be a model citizen for a year because winning is contagious. The issue is not Randy Moss’ attitude but rather his play on the field. We all know that Tom Brady likes to spread the ball around and no he has never had a Randy Moss on his team, but this will not be the famed 'Randy Ratio' coined by the NFL’s most comical former head coach, Mike Tice. In addition, NFL scouts and insiders have stated how Moss has become easier to defend because he has developed habits of sloppy route running and predictability.

Similar to the hype Mike Tyson still gets for his knockout abilities, people are still enamored with the deep ball caught over 2 defenders by Randy Moss. Similar to Tyson’s sad fate, the skills have definitely eroded, the competition is more skilled with taller and faster cover corners, and the hype bandwagon has not diminished Moss’ fantasy value enough to match his actual worth. Teams have learned how to defend Moss and he has not put in the work to continue his improvement to stay ahead of the competition.

Sure Moss is still a great goal line target due to his 6’4 frame and leaping ability, but Moss is no longer a complete receiver in the mold of a Chad Johnson, or Marvin Harrison. In addition, he does not take care of his body enough to be able to stay on the field. I would expect a healthy dose of TDs for Moss this season coupled with an average number of yards. Expect around 10 to 11 TDs and about 900 yards receiving, if he stays healthy. For my money, I would rather pay 3 or 4 dollars for a Reggie Brown type receiver, based on a 100 dollar salary cap, who should put up similar numbers, than a Randy Moss who should go for 10 to 15 dollars and a world of worry and headache. That would be equivalent to a 3rd round pick versus a 7th round pick for the novice fantasy football player who still plays in the dreaded snake style pickem draft.

Will I be taking the Randy Moss plunge this year? No thanks!!!!